(2024–2025) Sales shift: 2BHK & below vs
3BHK & above in India’s mega cities
Across India’s biggest housing markets, 2024–2025 wasn’t
just a “more/less sales” story—it was a mix story. Even where total unit
sales softened in 2025, the market continued to tilt toward larger,
higher-ticket homes (read: 3BHK+) while smaller formats (2BHK
& below) faced affordability pressure and a supply re-think.
Below is a LinkedIn-style, data-backed narrative you can
publish (with clear, defensible signals from leading research).
1) The headline pattern: volume cooled, value
stayed resilient
A key marker of “premiumisation” is when units fall
but transaction value rises.
- In
the top cities, 2025 saw housing sales volume decline (reported as
~14% YoY), while overall transaction value rose—suggesting buyers
are purchasing higher-priced (often larger) homes even when fewer
total homes are sold.
This is consistent with developers prioritising “margin
over volume” and a rising share of premium/luxury demand.
2) Why 3BHK+ gained ground in 2024–2025
A) “Unit upsizing” became structural (not
temporary)
Research tracking buyer preference shows the 3BHK+
share rising meaningfully compared to the pre-2019 era:
- 3BHK+
share in buyer preference: ~45–50% (vs ~30% in 2018).
- Average
unit sizes increased across cities between 2022–2025 (with especially
sharp jumps in some markets), reinforcing the “bigger homes” trend.
Interpretation:
Even if a buyer “could” buy a 2BHK, many upgraded to 3BHK where budgets and
loan eligibility allowed—driven by WFH/hybrid space needs, lifestyle upgrades,
and long-term holding intent.
B) Premium ticket sizes accelerated in 2024
(and carried into 2025)
A strong proxy for 3BHK+ growth is “premium ticket size
growth,” because larger configurations typically sit in higher ticket brackets.
- In
H1 2024, homes priced above INR 10 million formed a large share of sales,
with that segment growing strongly YoY—while sub-INR 5 million sales
declined.
- Developers
increased launch share in higher ticket categories, indicating they were
actively building for bigger budgets.
Interpretation:
When the premium bracket grows while the affordable bracket slows, the
configuration mix usually shifts toward larger 2.5/3/4BHK formats (and
larger carpet areas).
3) What happened to 2BHK & below (and why
growth looked weaker)
A) Affordability pinch hits smaller buyers
first
Smaller ticket-size cohorts are more rate-sensitive and
EMI-sensitive. Research points to a sustained slowdown in the lowest ticket
segment over multiple half-years, driven by rising prices and borrowing costs.
So even in 2024–2025, demand existed—but
conversion weakened in many micro-markets unless pricing stayed
sharply value-oriented.
B) Developers also changed what they launched
As premium segments delivered better margins, many
developers shifted capital allocation and launch strategy toward higher-priced
homes.
Result: In several “mega
city” corridors, 2BHK & below became:
- either
scarcer in new supply, or
- present
mainly in peripheral locations / smaller carpet plans / compact
“2BHK smart” products.
4) Mega-city evidence of the mix shift
(configuration-by-proxy)
Because India doesn’t have one single official public
dataset that cleanly reports every city’s sales by BHK
(developer-by-developer data is fragmented), analysts often triangulate using unit
size bands and ticket-size bands.
Example signal from a major metro market
(registration-based size band shift):
- Kolkata
saw mid-sized apartments (501–1,000 sq ft) rise sharply in share
year-on-year, while the smallest band reduced—showing movement away from
“smallest homes” toward larger formats.
And in Bengaluru, reports and market commentary highlight
a clear consumer tilt toward 3BHK as the new default in many corridors
(especially for families and hybrid-work households).
5) So… what’s the “sales growth” comparison
for 2024–2025?
Here’s the cleanest, defensible way to state it in a
professional article:
2024 → 2025 directionally (mega cities)
3BHK & above
- Gained
share of buyer preference and market value
- Supported
by premium ticket-size growth and “unit upsizing”
2BHK & below
- Slower
growth / softer conversions in many markets
- More
exposed to affordability pressure; in several markets, also faced reduced
launch focus as developers chased higher margins
If you want to put it in one punchline for LinkedIn:
2024–2025 wasn’t a uniform boom—sales
increasingly concentrated in larger, premium homes, while smaller homes stayed
demand-rich but affordability-constrained.
6) What this means for builders, brokers, and
investors (actionable takeaways)
For developers
- 3BHK+
is the margin engine in most mega-city corridors—but
watch inventory build-up risks in premium categories.
- 2BHK
can still win where it’s:
- transit-led
(Metro, ring roads),
- sharply
priced vs local incomes,
- designed
as efficient carpet layouts (“smart 2BHK”).
For brokers / sales teams
- Sell
3BHK+ with the “use-case” lens: WFH room + parents + storage +
lifestyle.
- Sell
2BHK as EMI certainty + location trade-off + faster liquidity
(especially for first-time buyers).
For investors
- In
mega cities, 3BHK+ often benefits from “end-user depth” in premium hubs.
- 2BHK
can outperform on liquidity in mid-income micro-markets—but only when
supply remains steady and pricing doesn’t run ahead of wages.
© Dhananjay Parmar
✆ +91
9223497891
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